The changing pattern of cirrhosis in Belgium: a study based on two cohorts prospectively collected 15 years apart

Background and study aim: The epidemiology of cirrhosis is evolving over the past decades in Western countries. The aim of this study was to assess the changes in the epidemiology of cirrhosis in our region by comparing two cohorts of patients diagnosed 15 years apart.

Patients and methods: From the outpatient’s liver clinics of our hospital and from January 1995 to December 2017, we consecutively recorded all patients with cirrhosis. From this registry, the current study compared two cohorts of patients diagnosed 15 years apart. Epidemiologic data and liver-related mortality were compared between both cohorts with a 3 to 8-year follow-up.

Results: During a 23-year period, 1151 patients consented to be included in the cirrhosis registry. The current study compared 197 patients with cirrhosis diagnosed from 1995 to 1999 (cohort C1) with 237 patients with cirrhosis diagnosed from 2010 to 2014 (cohort C2). Our results showed that in the cohort C2, compared with the cohort C1, the prevalence of NAFLD-related cirrhosis increased (C1 : 3% vs C2 : 16%, p< 0.0001) while the prevalence of HCV-related cirrhosis decreased (C1 : 22% vs C2 : 10%, p< 0.0001). In the more recent cohort, liver biopsy was less frequently performed (C1 : 65% vs C2 : 20%, p<0.0001). An intriguing finding was the increasing age at cirrhosis diagnosis for patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (C1 : 52±11 years vs C2 : 57±10 years, p<0.0001).

Conclusions: The epidemiology of cirrhosis has changed over time. Effective prevention strategies are needed to reduce the burden of liver disease.

Keywords: epidemiology, cirrhosis, cohort study.